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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Deepdale

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Preston Win

46%

Preston

2.18

32%

Draw

3.12

22%

Charlton

4.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Preston xG

Total xG

1.97

0.76

Charlton xG

46%
32%
22%
PrestonDrawCharlton

2.18

46%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

4.51

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

47%

Preston

2.13

30%

Charlton

3.36

Win to Nil

21%

Preston

4.66

7%

Charlton

15.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 10.6 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 16.9 12.8 4.9 1.2 0.2
2 10.2 7.8 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.1 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.211
λ Away (xG) 0.758
Total xG 1.969
League avg home goals 1.189
League avg away goals 1.183
Preston attack strength 0.993
Preston defence strength 0.856
Charlton attack strength 0.749
Charlton defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 8