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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
22%
4.51
33%
3.01
45%
2.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
19.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
18.6%
Draw
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.64
Preston xG
Total xG
1.68
1.04
Burnley xG
PrestonDrawBurnley
4.51
22%
Home win
3.01
33%
Draw
2.24
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
50%
Over 1.5
2.00
50%
Under 1.5
2.00
24%
Over 2.5
4.17
76%
Under 2.5
1.32
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
31%
BTTS Yes
3.27
69%
BTTS No
1.44
Clean Sheet
35%
2.84
53%
1.90
Win to Nil
8%
12.79
24%
4.25
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.6 | 19.4 | 10.1 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.9 | 12.4 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.640
λ Away (xG)
1.043
Total xG
1.683
League avg home goals
1.371
League avg away goals
1.036
Preston attack strength
0.981
Preston defence strength
0.907
Burnley attack strength
1.110
Burnley defence strength
0.476
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
77 / 32