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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

41%

Portsmouth

2.46

31%

Draw

3.25

29%

Swansea

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.23

0.99

Swansea xG

41%
31%
29%
PortsmouthDrawSwansea

2.46

41%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.51

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

37%

Portsmouth

2.69

29%

Swansea

3.44

Win to Nil

15%

Portsmouth

6.61

8%

Swansea

12.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 10.7 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.3 13.2 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.2 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.236
λ Away (xG) 0.991
Total xG 2.227
League avg home goals 1.401
League avg away goals 1.017
Portsmouth attack strength 1.011
Portsmouth defence strength 1.024
Swansea attack strength 0.951
Swansea defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 70