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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

40%

Portsmouth

2.51

30%

Draw

3.29

30%

Stoke City

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.03

0.92

Stoke City xG

40%
30%
30%
PortsmouthDrawStoke City

2.51

40%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

40%

Portsmouth

2.50

33%

Stoke City

3.04

Win to Nil

16%

Portsmouth

6.26

10%

Stoke City

10.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 12.1 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 13.4 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.1 7.4 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.111
λ Away (xG) 0.915
Total xG 2.026
League avg home goals 1.198
League avg away goals 1.152
Portsmouth attack strength 0.943
Portsmouth defence strength 1.007
Stoke City attack strength 0.789
Stoke City defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57