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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 22 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

56%

Portsmouth

1.79

27%

Draw

3.64

17%

Stoke City

6.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.29

0.73

Stoke City xG

56%
27%
17%
PortsmouthDrawStoke City

1.79

56%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

6.00

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

48%

Portsmouth

2.09

21%

Stoke City

4.71

Win to Nil

27%

Portsmouth

3.73

4%

Stoke City

28.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 7.5 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 15.8 11.6 4.3 1.0 0.2
2 12.2 9.0 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 6.3 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.550
λ Away (xG) 0.735
Total xG 2.285
League avg home goals 1.372
League avg away goals 0.999
Portsmouth attack strength 1.199
Portsmouth defence strength 0.939
Stoke City attack strength 0.784
Stoke City defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 73