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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

12:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

47%

Portsmouth

2.12

26%

Draw

3.85

27%

Southampton

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.94

1.24

Southampton xG

47%
26%
27%
PortsmouthDrawSouthampton

2.12

47%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

29%

Portsmouth

3.45

18%

Southampton

5.48

Win to Nil

14%

Portsmouth

7.29

5%

Southampton

20.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.5 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.0 11.1 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.5 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.3 5.4 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.702
λ Away (xG) 1.237
Total xG 2.939
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.146
Portsmouth attack strength 0.920
Portsmouth defence strength 0.988
Southampton attack strength 1.092
Southampton defence strength 1.355
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 28