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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

44%

Portsmouth

2.28

30%

Draw

3.39

27%

QPR

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.31

0.98

QPR xG

44%
30%
27%
PortsmouthDrawQPR

2.28

44%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

37%

Portsmouth

2.67

26%

QPR

3.79

Win to Nil

16%

Portsmouth

6.08

7%

QPR

14.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 12.9 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.6 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.9 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.333
λ Away (xG) 0.981
Total xG 2.314
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.165
Portsmouth attack strength 0.875
Portsmouth defence strength 0.955
QPR attack strength 0.882
QPR defence strength 1.089
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 68