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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 12 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

75%

Portsmouth

1.33

17%

Draw

5.73

7%

Plymouth

14.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

3 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.71

0.53

Plymouth xG

75%
17%
PortsmouthDrawPlymouth

1.33

75%

Home win

5.73

17%

Draw

14.01

7%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.73

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

59%

Portsmouth

1.69

11%

Plymouth

8.91

Win to Nil

45%

Portsmouth

2.24

1%

Plymouth

124.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 3.5 0.9 0.2
1 14.5 7.6 2.0 0.4
2 15.9 8.3 2.2 0.4 0.1
3 11.6 6.1 1.6 0.3
4 6.3 3.3 0.9 0.2
5 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.187
λ Away (xG) 0.526
Total xG 2.713
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.038
Portsmouth attack strength 1.119
Portsmouth defence strength 0.840
Plymouth attack strength 0.603
Plymouth defence strength 1.458
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 82