Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

49%

Portsmouth

2.05

27%

Draw

3.70

24%

Norwich

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.33

0.91

Norwich xG

49%
27%
24%
PortsmouthDrawNorwich

2.05

49%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

40%

Portsmouth

2.49

24%

Norwich

4.13

Win to Nil

20%

Portsmouth

5.10

6%

Norwich

17.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 8.9 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.8 12.6 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 8.9 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.6 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.418
λ Away (xG) 0.912
Total xG 2.330
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.006
Portsmouth attack strength 1.055
Portsmouth defence strength 0.959
Norwich attack strength 0.945
Norwich defence strength 1.039
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47