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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Tue 11 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

66%

Portsmouth

1.51

19%

Draw

5.21

14%

Cardiff

6.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

3.29

0.99

Cardiff xG

66%
19%
14%
PortsmouthDrawCardiff

1.51

66%

Home win

5.21

19%

Draw

6.92

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

37%

Portsmouth

2.70

10%

Cardiff

9.99

Win to Nil

25%

Portsmouth

4.06

1%

Cardiff

69.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 8.5 8.5 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 9.8 9.8 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.5 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 4.3 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.302
λ Away (xG) 0.992
Total xG 3.294
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.049
Portsmouth attack strength 1.149
Portsmouth defence strength 0.890
Cardiff attack strength 1.063
Cardiff defence strength 1.471
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 76