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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

24%

Portsmouth

4.22

31%

Draw

3.21

45%

Burnley

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.04

1.23

Burnley xG

24%
31%
45%
PortsmouthDrawBurnley

4.22

24%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

29%

Portsmouth

3.41

44%

Burnley

2.25

Win to Nil

7%

Portsmouth

14.37

20%

Burnley

4.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 16.0 9.8 4.0 1.2 0.3
1 10.6 13.0 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 4.3 5.3 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.811
λ Away (xG) 1.226
Total xG 2.037
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.034
Portsmouth attack strength 1.189
Portsmouth defence strength 0.977
Burnley attack strength 1.215
Burnley defence strength 0.497
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 29