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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Tue 10 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Home Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

39%

Plymouth

2.57

31%

Draw

3.24

30%

Swansea

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.35

1.09

Swansea xG

39%
31%
30%
PlymouthDrawSwansea

2.57

39%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

34%

Plymouth

2.97

28%

Swansea

3.55

Win to Nil

13%

Plymouth

7.62

9%

Swansea

11.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 10.3 5.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 12.0 13.1 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.266
λ Away (xG) 1.087
Total xG 2.353
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.041
Plymouth attack strength 1.124
Plymouth defence strength 1.195
Swansea attack strength 0.874
Swansea defence strength 0.830
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65