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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Home Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

40%

Plymouth

2.52

24%

Draw

4.09

36%

Norwich

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.96

1.44

Norwich xG

40%
24%
36%
PlymouthDrawNorwich

2.52

40%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

24%

Plymouth

4.22

22%

Norwich

4.58

Win to Nil

9%

Plymouth

10.64

8%

Norwich

12.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.4 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 7.9 11.3 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.6 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.0 4.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.522
λ Away (xG) 1.439
Total xG 2.961
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.016
Plymouth attack strength 1.100
Plymouth defence strength 1.596
Norwich attack strength 0.888
Norwich defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 85