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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Home Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

41%

Plymouth

2.45

23%

Draw

4.41

37%

Coventry

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Plymouth xG

Total xG

3.38

1.64

Coventry xG

41%
23%
37%
PlymouthDrawCoventry

2.45

41%

Home win

4.41

23%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

19%

Plymouth

5.14

18%

Coventry

5.69

Win to Nil

8%

Plymouth

12.63

6%

Coventry

15.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 5.6 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 5.9 9.7 8.0 4.3 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.5 6.9 3.8 1.5 0.5
3 3.0 4.9 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.3 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 1.638
Total xG 3.377
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.000
Plymouth attack strength 1.174
Plymouth defence strength 1.496
Coventry attack strength 1.095
Coventry defence strength 1.154
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89