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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
19%
5.18
30%
3.35
51%
1.97
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
16.4%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
0 – 0
11.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.75
Plymouth xG
Total xG
2.13
1.38
Burnley xG
PlymouthDrawBurnley
5.18
19%
Home win
3.35
30%
Draw
1.97
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.46
59%
BTTS No
1.68
Clean Sheet
25%
3.98
47%
2.12
Win to Nil
5%
20.63
24%
4.16
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.8 | 16.4 | 11.3 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 12.3 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.751
λ Away (xG)
1.382
Total xG
2.133
League avg home goals
1.380
League avg away goals
1.002
Plymouth attack strength
1.033
Plymouth defence strength
1.383
Burnley attack strength
0.998
Burnley defence strength
0.527
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
73 / 27