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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

47%

Oxford United

2.14

26%

Draw

3.90

28%

Portsmouth

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.62

1.10

Portsmouth xG

47%
26%
28%
Oxford UnitedDrawPortsmouth

2.14

47%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

33%

Oxford United

3.01

22%

Portsmouth

4.54

Win to Nil

15%

Oxford United

6.45

6%

Portsmouth

16.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 8.1 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.2 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.2 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.7 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.513
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.616
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 0.985
Oxford United attack strength 0.995
Oxford United defence strength 1.064
Portsmouth attack strength 1.052
Portsmouth defence strength 1.149
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46