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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

34%

Oxford United

2.97

24%

Draw

4.10

42%

Coventry

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.95

1.57

Coventry xG

34%
24%
42%
Oxford UnitedDrawCoventry

2.97

34%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

21%

Oxford United

4.80

25%

Coventry

3.98

Win to Nil

7%

Oxford United

14.26

11%

Coventry

9.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.2 6.4 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 7.2 11.3 8.9 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 5.0 7.8 6.1 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.3 3.6 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.569
Total xG 2.951
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.137
Oxford United attack strength 0.867
Oxford United defence strength 1.006
Coventry attack strength 1.372
Coventry defence strength 1.244
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49