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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

36%

Norwich

2.81

33%

Draw

3.07

32%

Stoke City

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Norwich xG

Total xG

1.94

0.94

Stoke City xG

36%
33%
32%
NorwichDrawStoke City

2.81

36%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

39%

Norwich

2.55

37%

Stoke City

2.73

Win to Nil

14%

Norwich

7.17

12%

Stoke City

8.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 13.4 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.4 13.5 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.3 6.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.006
λ Away (xG) 0.936
Total xG 1.942
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.115
Norwich attack strength 0.821
Norwich defence strength 1.083
Stoke City attack strength 0.776
Stoke City defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71