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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

70%

Norwich

1.42

17%

Draw

5.72

12%

Portsmouth

8.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.34

Norwich xG

Total xG

3.21

0.86

Portsmouth xG

70%
17%
12%
NorwichDrawPortsmouth

1.42

70%

Home win

5.72

17%

Draw

8.21

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

42%

Norwich

2.37

10%

Portsmouth

10.39

Win to Nil

30%

Norwich

3.37

1%

Portsmouth

85.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.5 8.2 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.1 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 8.7 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 5.1 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
5 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.341
λ Away (xG) 0.864
Total xG 3.205
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 0.993
Norwich attack strength 1.267
Norwich defence strength 1.127
Portsmouth attack strength 0.773
Portsmouth defence strength 1.463
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 42