🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Norwich Win
73%
1.37
16%
6.35
11%
9.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.6%
Home win
3 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.76
Norwich xG
Total xG
3.79
1.03
Derby xG
NorwichDrawDerby
1.37
73%
Home win
6.35
16%
Draw
9.01
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
73%
Over 2.5
1.37
27%
Under 2.5
3.70
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
33%
Over 4.5
3.03
67%
Under 4.5
1.49
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
36%
2.80
6%
15.77
Win to Nil
26%
3.83
1%
142.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.758
λ Away (xG)
1.029
Total xG
3.787
League avg home goals
1.379
League avg away goals
1.046
Norwich attack strength
1.608
Norwich defence strength
1.175
Derby attack strength
0.838
Derby defence strength
1.243
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
76 / 30