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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

53%

Norwich

1.87

21%

Draw

4.71

25%

Cardiff

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

2 – 0

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Norwich xG

Total xG

3.44

1.37

Cardiff xG

53%
21%
25%
NorwichDrawCardiff

1.87

53%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

25%

Norwich

3.95

13%

Cardiff

7.88

Win to Nil

14%

Norwich

7.40

3%

Cardiff

31.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.4 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.6 9.1 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.7 6.5 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.4 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.064
λ Away (xG) 1.374
Total xG 3.438
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.004
Norwich attack strength 1.261
Norwich defence strength 1.394
Cardiff attack strength 0.982
Cardiff defence strength 1.257
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91