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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Middlesbrough Win
45%
2.21
28%
3.55
27%
3.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
0 – 0
10.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.31
Middlesbrough xG
Total xG
2.24
0.93
Swansea xG
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea
2.21
45%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
3.76
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.26
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
39%
2.54
27%
3.70
Win to Nil
18%
5.62
7%
13.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6 | 9.9 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.9 | 13.0 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.309
λ Away (xG)
0.933
Total xG
2.242
League avg home goals
1.323
League avg away goals
0.985
Middlesbrough attack strength
0.988
Middlesbrough defence strength
0.981
Swansea attack strength
0.965
Swansea defence strength
1.001
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
46 / 46