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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Middlesbrough Win
41%
2.44
31%
3.26
28%
3.52
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
0 – 0
11.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Middlesbrough xG
Total xG
2.20
0.98
Sunderland xG
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
2.44
41%
Home win
3.26
31%
Draw
3.52
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.22
55%
BTTS No
1.82
Clean Sheet
38%
2.66
29%
3.40
Win to Nil
15%
6.50
8%
11.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1 | 10.8 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.5 | 13.2 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.225
λ Away (xG)
0.977
Total xG
2.202
League avg home goals
1.376
League avg away goals
1.031
Middlesbrough attack strength
1.066
Middlesbrough defence strength
0.965
Sunderland attack strength
0.982
Sunderland defence strength
0.835
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 75