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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

36%

Middlesbrough

2.75

30%

Draw

3.36

34%

Sheffield Wednesday

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.58

1.26

Sheffield Wednesday xG

36%
30%
34%
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday

2.75

36%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

28%

Middlesbrough

3.54

27%

Sheffield Wednesday

3.72

Win to Nil

10%

Middlesbrough

9.75

9%

Sheffield Wednesday

10.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 12.6 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.315
λ Away (xG) 1.264
Total xG 2.579
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.025
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.028
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.042
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 1.184
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68