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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

44%

Middlesbrough

2.28

30%

Draw

3.28

26%

QPR

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.02

0.83

QPR xG

44%
30%
26%
MiddlesbroughDrawQPR

2.28

44%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

43%

Middlesbrough

2.30

30%

QPR

3.28

Win to Nil

19%

Middlesbrough

5.25

8%

QPR

12.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 11.0 4.6 1.3 0.3
1 15.7 13.1 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 9.3 7.8 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 3.7 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.188
λ Away (xG) 0.835
Total xG 2.023
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.029
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.972
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.018
QPR attack strength 0.797
QPR defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82