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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

64%

Middlesbrough

1.56

22%

Draw

4.46

13%

Plymouth

7.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.45

0.67

Plymouth xG

64%
22%
13%
MiddlesbroughDrawPlymouth

1.56

64%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

7.41

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

51%

Middlesbrough

1.95

17%

Plymouth

5.94

Win to Nil

33%

Middlesbrough

3.05

2%

Plymouth

44.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.3 10.3 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.7 9.2 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 8.1 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 3.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.782
λ Away (xG) 0.670
Total xG 2.452
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 0.993
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.015
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.027
Plymouth attack strength 0.657
Plymouth defence strength 1.389
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88