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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
24%
4.12
30%
3.31
46%
2.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.3%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
10.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.90
Middlesbrough xG
Total xG
2.24
1.33
Burnley xG
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
4.12
24%
Home win
3.31
30%
Draw
2.20
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
26%
3.79
41%
2.47
Win to Nil
6%
15.60
18%
5.42
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.7 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 12.9 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.903
λ Away (xG)
1.332
Total xG
2.235
League avg home goals
1.407
League avg away goals
1.020
Middlesbrough attack strength
1.132
Middlesbrough defence strength
1.187
Burnley attack strength
1.100
Burnley defence strength
0.567
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
69 / 23