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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

12:30

Venue

Riverside Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

49%

Middlesbrough

2.03

31%

Draw

3.24

20%

Bristol City

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Middlesbrough xG

Total xG

2.04

0.73

Bristol City xG

49%
31%
20%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City

2.03

49%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

48%

Middlesbrough

2.08

27%

Bristol City

3.71

Win to Nil

24%

Middlesbrough

4.21

5%

Bristol City

18.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 9.5 3.5 0.8 0.2
1 17.0 12.4 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 11.1 8.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 4.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.311
λ Away (xG) 0.732
Total xG 2.043
League avg home goals 1.295
League avg away goals 1.192
Middlesbrough attack strength 0.987
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.735
Bristol City attack strength 0.836
Bristol City defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 83