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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Stoke City Win
26%
3.91
31%
3.21
43%
2.31
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
16.7%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.9%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.79
Leicester xG
Total xG
1.90
1.12
Stoke City xG
LeicesterDrawStoke City
3.91
26%
Home win
3.21
31%
Draw
2.31
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.73
63%
BTTS No
1.58
Clean Sheet
33%
3.06
46%
2.19
Win to Nil
8%
11.94
20%
5.07
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.9 | 16.7 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 13.1 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.785
λ Away (xG)
1.117
Total xG
1.902
League avg home goals
1.251
League avg away goals
1.202
Leicester attack strength
0.763
Leicester defence strength
0.991
Stoke City attack strength
0.937
Stoke City defence strength
0.823
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
15 / 61