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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Leeds Win
80%
1.26
14%
6.93
6%
16.98
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
15.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
12.9%
Home win
3 – 0
12.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.42
Leeds xG
Total xG
2.94
0.51
Swansea xG
LeedsDrawSwansea
1.26
80%
Home win
6.93
14%
Draw
16.98
6%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.73
63%
BTTS No
1.58
Clean Sheet
60%
1.67
9%
11.30
Win to Nil
48%
2.09
1%
191.89
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1 | 12.9 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 2 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 3 | 12.6 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 4 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.425
λ Away (xG)
0.511
Total xG
2.936
League avg home goals
1.324
League avg away goals
1.024
Leeds attack strength
1.537
Leeds defence strength
0.655
Swansea attack strength
0.762
Swansea defence strength
1.192
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
84 / 84