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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

74%

Leeds

1.36

17%

Draw

5.79

9%

Cardiff

11.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

3 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.37

Leeds xG

Total xG

3.08

0.71

Cardiff xG

74%
17%
LeedsDrawCardiff

1.36

74%

Home win

5.79

17%

Draw

11.11

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

49%

Leeds

2.04

9%

Cardiff

10.65

Win to Nil

36%

Leeds

2.77

1%

Cardiff

118.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 3.3 1.2 0.3
1 10.9 7.8 2.8 0.7 0.1
2 12.9 9.2 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 10.1 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
4 6.0 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.366
λ Away (xG) 0.715
Total xG 3.081
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.034
Leeds attack strength 1.422
Leeds defence strength 0.609
Cardiff attack strength 1.136
Cardiff defence strength 1.211
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75