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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Mon 28 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Elland Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

73%

Leeds

1.36

17%

Draw

6.05

10%

Bristol City

9.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

3 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Leeds xG

Total xG

3.14

0.76

Bristol City xG

73%
17%
LeedsDrawBristol City

1.36

73%

Home win

6.05

17%

Draw

9.85

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

47%

Leeds

2.14

9%

Bristol City

10.77

Win to Nil

34%

Leeds

2.92

1%

Bristol City

106.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.3 7.8 3.0 0.8 0.1
2 12.2 9.3 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 9.7 7.4 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 5.8 4.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
5 2.7 2.1 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.377
λ Away (xG) 0.762
Total xG 3.139
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.008
Leeds attack strength 1.695
Leeds defence strength 0.776
Bristol City attack strength 0.974
Bristol City defence strength 1.082
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90