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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Wed 10 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Portman Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ipswich Win

51%

Ipswich

1.94

27%

Draw

3.68

21%

Stoke City

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Ipswich xG

Total xG

2.39

0.88

Stoke City xG

51%
27%
21%
IpswichDrawStoke City

1.94

51%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

42%

Ipswich

2.41

22%

Stoke City

4.52

Win to Nil

21%

Ipswich

4.68

5%

Stoke City

21.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 8.1 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 13.9 12.2 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.4 9.2 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 5.3 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.7 0.8 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.508
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 2.387
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.220
Ipswich attack strength 1.032
Ipswich defence strength 0.853
Stoke City attack strength 0.844
Stoke City defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 65