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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Portman Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derby Win

37%

Ipswich

2.73

27%

Draw

3.77

37%

Derby

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Ipswich xG

Total xG

2.58

1.29

Derby xG

37%
27%
37%
IpswichDrawDerby

2.73

37%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

28%

Ipswich

3.63

28%

Derby

3.62

Win to Nil

10%

Ipswich

9.92

10%

Derby

9.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.8 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.8 12.6 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.1 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.286
λ Away (xG) 1.290
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.137
Ipswich attack strength 0.832
Ipswich defence strength 1.136
Derby attack strength 0.999
Derby defence strength 1.206
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 49