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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

MKM Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hull City Win

43%

Hull City

2.31

29%

Draw

3.47

28%

Stoke City

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Hull City xG

Total xG

2.38

1.03

Stoke City xG

43%
29%
28%
Hull CityDrawStoke City

2.31

43%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

36%

Hull City

2.80

26%

Stoke City

3.84

Win to Nil

15%

Hull City

6.48

7%

Stoke City

13.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 9.6 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.9 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.7 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.345
λ Away (xG) 1.030
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.151
Hull City attack strength 1.012
Hull City defence strength 1.171
Stoke City attack strength 0.764
Stoke City defence strength 0.976
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70