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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Final

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

15:30

Venue

Wembley Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

30%

Hull City

3.29

26%

Draw

3.79

43%

Middlesbrough

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Hull City xG

Total xG

3.09

1.69

Middlesbrough xG

30%
26%
43%
Hull CityDrawMiddlesbrough

3.29

30%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

18%

Hull City

5.44

25%

Middlesbrough

4.04

Win to Nil

6%

Hull City

17.93

11%

Middlesbrough

9.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 7.7 6.5 3.7 1.6 0.5
1 6.4 10.8 9.1 5.1 2.2 0.7
2 4.4 7.5 6.4 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 2.1 3.5 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 1.694
Total xG 3.090
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.211
Hull City attack strength 1.052
Hull City defence strength 1.106
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.265
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92