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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The MKM Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hull City Win

41%

Hull City

2.41

26%

Draw

3.80

32%

Derby

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Hull City xG

Total xG

2.59

1.20

Derby xG

41%
26%
32%
Hull CityDrawDerby

2.41

41%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

30%

Hull City

3.31

25%

Derby

4.03

Win to Nil

13%

Hull City

8.00

8%

Derby

12.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 9.0 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 10.4 12.5 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.7 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.4 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.591
League avg home goals 1.313
League avg away goals 1.023
Hull City attack strength 0.882
Hull City defence strength 1.146
Derby attack strength 1.022
Derby defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 44