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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Pride Park Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Brom Win

35%

Derby

2.90

30%

Draw

3.34

36%

West Brom

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Derby xG

Total xG

2.45

1.24

West Brom xG

35%
30%
36%
DerbyDrawWest Brom

2.90

35%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

29%

Derby

3.45

30%

West Brom

3.37

Win to Nil

10%

Derby

9.97

11%

West Brom

9.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.7 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 12.9 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.4 7.9 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.6 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.215
λ Away (xG) 1.237
Total xG 2.452
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.033
Derby attack strength 0.988
Derby defence strength 1.092
West Brom attack strength 1.096
West Brom defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 68