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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Derby Win
63%
1.58
24%
4.16
13%
7.77
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
13.0%
Home win
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.85
Derby xG
Total xG
2.58
0.73
Sheffield Wednesday xG
DerbyDrawSheffield Wednesday
1.58
63%
Home win
4.16
24%
Draw
7.77
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.24
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
48%
2.07
16%
6.39
Win to Nil
31%
3.27
2%
49.61
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 13.0 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.0 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.854
λ Away (xG)
0.726
Total xG
2.580
League avg home goals
1.309
League avg away goals
1.212
Derby attack strength
1.019
Derby defence strength
1.006
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength
0.596
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength
1.391
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
81 / 81