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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Pride Park Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sheffield Utd Win

23%

Derby

4.27

28%

Draw

3.51

48%

Sheffield Utd

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Derby xG

Total xG

2.33

1.42

Sheffield Utd xG

23%
28%
48%
DerbyDrawSheffield Utd

4.27

23%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

24%

Derby

4.14

40%

Sheffield Utd

2.49

Win to Nil

6%

Derby

17.67

19%

Sheffield Utd

5.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 13.8 9.8 4.6 1.6 0.5
1 8.8 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.0 5.7 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.913
λ Away (xG) 1.421
Total xG 2.334
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.034
Derby attack strength 0.789
Derby defence strength 1.131
Sheffield Utd attack strength 1.216
Sheffield Utd defence strength 0.843
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 29