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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Pride Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derby Win

38%

Derby

2.62

27%

Draw

3.69

35%

QPR

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Derby xG

Total xG

2.48

1.21

QPR xG

38%
27%
35%
DerbyDrawQPR

2.62

38%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

30%

Derby

3.34

28%

QPR

3.59

Win to Nil

11%

Derby

8.77

10%

QPR

10.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.1 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 12.9 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.277
λ Away (xG) 1.207
Total xG 2.484
League avg home goals 1.194
League avg away goals 1.146
Derby attack strength 0.913
Derby defence strength 0.984
QPR attack strength 1.070
QPR defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57