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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Pride Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

31%

Derby

3.26

28%

Draw

3.59

42%

Norwich

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Derby xG

Total xG

2.44

1.33

Norwich xG

31%
28%
42%
DerbyDrawNorwich

3.26

31%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.41

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

26%

Derby

3.78

33%

Norwich

3.02

Win to Nil

8%

Derby

12.35

14%

Norwich

7.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 11.6 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 9.7 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.3 7.1 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.105
λ Away (xG) 1.331
Total xG 2.436
League avg home goals 1.214
League avg away goals 1.150
Derby attack strength 0.915
Derby defence strength 1.106
Norwich attack strength 1.047
Norwich defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56