Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

12:31

Venue

Pride Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ipswich Win

30%

Derby

3.29

29%

Draw

3.41

40%

Ipswich

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Derby xG

Total xG

2.52

1.37

Ipswich xG

30%
29%
40%
DerbyDrawIpswich

3.29

30%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

26%

Derby

3.92

31%

Ipswich

3.18

Win to Nil

8%

Derby

12.89

13%

Ipswich

7.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.9 7.5 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 9.3 12.7 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.4 7.3 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.158
λ Away (xG) 1.366
Total xG 2.524
League avg home goals 1.314
League avg away goals 1.143
Derby attack strength 0.869
Derby defence strength 1.099
Ipswich attack strength 1.088
Ipswich defence strength 1.014
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 29