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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Tue 4 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Pride Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hull City Win

33%

Derby

3.01

28%

Draw

3.59

39%

Hull City

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Derby xG

Total xG

2.36

1.24

Hull City xG

33%
28%
39%
DerbyDrawHull City

3.01

33%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

29%

Derby

3.45

33%

Hull City

3.07

Win to Nil

10%

Derby

10.37

13%

Hull City

7.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 11.7 7.2 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 10.6 13.1 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 5.9 7.4 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.2 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.123
λ Away (xG) 1.238
Total xG 2.361
League avg home goals 1.237
League avg away goals 1.164
Derby attack strength 0.863
Derby defence strength 0.893
Hull City attack strength 1.190
Hull City defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59