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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bristol City Win
30%
3.33
23%
4.42
47%
2.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.2%
Away win
2 – 1
7.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.43
Derby xG
Total xG
3.27
1.84
Bristol City xG
DerbyDrawBristol City
3.33
30%
Home win
4.42
23%
Draw
2.11
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.56
36%
BTTS No
2.78
Clean Sheet
16%
6.31
24%
4.18
Win to Nil
5%
21.02
11%
8.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 5.4 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.9 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.430
λ Away (xG)
1.842
Total xG
3.272
League avg home goals
1.280
League avg away goals
1.173
Derby attack strength
1.076
Derby defence strength
1.275
Bristol City attack strength
1.231
Bristol City defence strength
1.038
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48