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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

12:30

Venue

Pride Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derby Win

39%

Derby

2.57

32%

Draw

3.11

29%

Blackburn

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Derby xG

Total xG

2.22

1.01

Blackburn xG

39%
32%
29%
DerbyDrawBlackburn

2.57

39%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

36%

Derby

2.75

30%

Blackburn

3.36

Win to Nil

14%

Derby

7.05

9%

Blackburn

11.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 10.9 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.3 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.0 8.0 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.2 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.213
λ Away (xG) 1.010
Total xG 2.223
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.190
Derby attack strength 0.913
Derby defence strength 1.014
Blackburn attack strength 0.837
Blackburn defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 80