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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Pride Park Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Blackburn Win

29%

Derby

3.39

35%

Draw

2.89

36%

Blackburn

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

16.1%

Away win

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Derby xG

Total xG

1.77

0.94

Blackburn xG

29%
35%
36%
DerbyDrawBlackburn

3.39

29%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.85

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

39%

Derby

2.57

44%

Blackburn

2.29

Win to Nil

11%

Derby

8.73

16%

Blackburn

6.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.0 16.1 7.6 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.1 13.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 5.8 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.827
λ Away (xG) 0.945
Total xG 1.772
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.046
Derby attack strength 0.666
Derby defence strength 1.040
Blackburn attack strength 0.869
Blackburn defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 81