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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

68%

Coventry

1.47

20%

Draw

5.09

12%

Swansea

8.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Coventry xG

Total xG

3.09

0.85

Swansea xG

68%
20%
12%
CoventryDrawSwansea

1.47

68%

Home win

5.09

20%

Draw

8.10

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

43%

Coventry

2.35

11%

Swansea

9.33

Win to Nil

29%

Coventry

3.46

1%

Swansea

75.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.2 8.7 3.7 1.1 0.2
2 11.4 9.7 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.5 7.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.233
λ Away (xG) 0.855
Total xG 3.088
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.165
Coventry attack strength 1.425
Coventry defence strength 0.834
Swansea attack strength 0.880
Swansea defence strength 1.120
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68