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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Fri 9 May 2025

20:00

Venue

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

53%

Coventry

1.90

27%

Draw

3.72

20%

Sunderland

4.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.23

0.79

Sunderland xG

53%
27%
20%
CoventryDrawSunderland

1.90

53%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

4.89

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

46%

Coventry

2.20

24%

Sunderland

4.23

Win to Nil

24%

Coventry

4.17

5%

Sunderland

20.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 8.5 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 15.5 12.2 4.8 1.3 0.2
2 11.2 8.8 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 5.4 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 0.787
Total xG 2.230
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.028
Coventry attack strength 1.196
Coventry defence strength 0.862
Sunderland attack strength 0.888
Sunderland defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92