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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

50%

Coventry

1.99

32%

Draw

3.16

18%

Stoke City

5.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.01

0.69

Stoke City xG

50%
32%
18%
CoventryDrawStoke City

1.99

50%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

5.53

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

50%

Coventry

1.99

27%

Stoke City

3.73

Win to Nil

25%

Coventry

3.96

5%

Stoke City

20.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 9.3 3.2 0.7 0.1
1 17.7 12.2 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 11.7 8.0 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 5.1 3.5 1.2 0.3
4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.317
λ Away (xG) 0.689
Total xG 2.006
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 1.188
Coventry attack strength 1.231
Coventry defence strength 0.810
Stoke City attack strength 0.716
Stoke City defence strength 0.810
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 80